Computational and Spatial Epidemiology Group

Computational and Spatial Epidemiology Group

About the Group

Rapid environmental, evolutionary, digital and socio-economic shifts have profound impacts on the health of populations across the world. Most of my work concerns understanding the statistical relationships between environmental (e.g. climatic change) and demographic changes (e.g., aging societies, human movement patterns) and how they alter the spread of disease in real-time. In doing so my group aims to derive interpretable outputs for policy makers and promote public health interventions to reduce the burden of disease in human, insect and animal populations.

To do so we develop and apply a variety of computational methodologies including those from statistical ecology, data science, machine learning, and phylodynamics and derive and use a variety of globally available emerging data sources ranging from global human movement data, internet generated epidemiological data, viral and bacterial genomic sequences, satellite imagery, among many others. These novel data sources (and computing technologies) offer unprecedented precision in our understanding of these global processes. 

Additional information: I have lectured at MIT, Harvard School of Public Health and Harvard Medical School where I still hold a secondary appointment in Computational Informatics. Some of our work is done in close collaboration with governmental, non-governmental (UNICEF), and industry partners. I am also a fellow at the Oxford Martin School's Pandemic Genomics programme. I am PI on two Google Faculty Grants, co-PI on a large European Union Horizon 2020 award and a Branco Weiss Fellowship recipient.

I currently accept DPhil applications in Zoology and/or Associated Doctoral Training Programmes as well as applications for research assistants and interns. I will soon also advertise a position for a post-doctoral fellow.

Contact details:

Twitter: @mougk

Google Scholar

Peter Medawar Building for Pathogen Research
South Parks Road OX1 3SY
Oxford, United Kingdom
Tel: + 44 (0)1865 281309

Selected Publications

Kraemer MUG, Reiner Jr. RC, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Gilbert, M, Pigott DM, Yi D, Johnson K, Earl L, Marczak LB, Shirude S, Davis Weaver N, Bisanzio D, Perkins TA, Lai S, Lu X, Jones P, Coelho GE, Carvalho RG, Van Bortel, W, Marsboom C, Hendrickx G, Schaffner F, Moore CG, Nax HH, Bengtsson L, Wetter E, Tatem AJ, Brownstein JS, Smith DL, Lambrechts L, Cauchemez, S, Linard C, Faria NR, Pybus OG, Scott TW, Liu, Q, Yu H, Wint GR, Hay SI, Golding N (2019) Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Nature Microbiology 4:854-863

Kraemer MUG, Cummings DA, Funk S, Reiner Jr RC, Faria NR, Pybus OG, Cauchemez S (2018) Reconstruction and prediction of viral disease epidemics. Epidemiology & Infection 147:e34

Faria NR, Kraemer MUG, Hill SC, Goes de Jesus J, de Aguiar RS, Iani FCM, Xavier J, Quick J, du Plessis L, Dellicour S, Thézé J, Carvalho RDO , Baele G, Wu C-H, Silveira PP, Arruda MB, Pereira MA, Pereira GC, Lourenço J, Obolski U, Abade L, Vasylyeva TI, Giovanetti M, Yi D, Weiss DJ, Wint GRW, Shearer FM, Funk S, Nikolai B, Fonseca V, Adelino TER, Oliveira MAA, Silva MVF, Sacchetto L, Figueiredo PO, Rezende IM, Mello EM, Said RFC, Santos DA, Ferraz ML, Brito MG, Santana LF, Menezes MT, Brindeiro RM, Tanuri A, dos Santos FCP, Cunha MS, Nogueira JS, Rocco IM, da Costa AC, Komninakis SCV, Azevedo V, Chieppe AO, Araujo ESM, Mendonça MCL, dos Santos CC, dos Santos CD, Mares-Guia AM, Nogueira RMR, Sequeira PC, Abreu RG, Garcia MHO, Abreu AL, Okumoto O, Kroon EG, de Albuquerque CFC, Lewandowski K, Pullan ST, Carroll M, de Oliveira T, Sabino EC, Souza RP, Suchard MA, Lemey P, Trindade GS, Drumond BP, Filippis AMB, Loman NJ, Cauchemez S, Alcantara LCJ, Pybus OG (2018) Genomic and epidemiological monitoring of yellow fever virus transmission potential. Science 361:894–99

Kraemer MUG, Faria NR, Reiner Jr RC, Golding N, Nikolay, B, Johansson MA, Salje H, Faye O, Wint GRW, Niedrig M, Shearer FM, Hill SC, Bisanzi D, Nax HH, Pradelski BS, Murphy NR, Bogoch II, Khan K, Brownstein JS, Tatem AJ, de Oliveira T, Smith DL, Sall A, Pybus OG, Hay SI, Cauchemez S (2017) Spread of yellow fever virus outbreak in Angola and the Democratic Republic Congo 2015-2016. Lancet Infectious Diseases 17:330-38

Kraemer, M. U. G., M. Sinka, K. Duda, A. Mylne, F. Shearer, C. Barker, C. Moore, R. Carvalho, G. Coelho, W. Van Bortel, G. Hendrickx, F. Schaffner, I. Elyazar, H. Teng, O. Brady, J. Messina, D. Pigott, T. Scott, D. Smith, G. Wint, N. Golding, S. Hay. 2015. The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus. eLife 4:e08347